PRICE-03: Sol and Terra repeat the price-framing task
Both models gave higher maximum prices under gain framing. The gain-minus-loss difference was $10.03 for Sol and $8.37 for Terra (both Holm-adjusted p < .001). Buying likelihood also increased for both models. The price model-by-frame interaction was not significant (p = .207); this does not establish equivalence.
The fixed main schedule contains 320 sessions across two samples, with 40 scheduled per model and frame in each sample. 317 sessions were eligible and 1 ended in known failure. 2 original unresolved session(s) remain unresolved in custody: 1 accepted 503 and 1 accepted null-HTTP-status stream disconnections. These disjoint technical-missing subsets supply no scientific outcomes; null status is not classified as 503. All 84 scheduled pilot slots across the retained attempts are excluded. This report presents independently reviewed aggregate evidence on OpenPsy; publication does not authorize or finalize a study.
Amended stream-disconnection residual continuation. Coding: complete; final record: complete; app integration: pending.
Design and reporting methods
Frame crosses Gain/Loss with GPT-6 Sol/GPT-5.6 Terra. The primary response is maximum price in whole US dollars from 0 to 60; likelihood to buy at $25 uses 1 to 7. The five original rationale codes are retained. Complete native six-turn sessions determine session eligibility; each outcome also retains its own parser or coding validity. Missing values are never assigned zero.
Reporting-only 95% intervals were specified prospectively in a separate supplement: scalar mean ± Student t × SE, Wilson score intervals for binary code proportions, and Welch/Satterthwaite intervals for pooled gain-minus-loss differences. All are individual unadjusted intervals. They do not alter the frozen sample-blocked exact tests, four-comparison Holm families, or hypothesis verdicts. Sample and line figures contain no significance stars.
The E2 coefficient supplement adds individual, unadjusted 95% intervals to supported model terms: native OLS coefficients use b ± Student t × SE with native residual degrees of freedom; native Wald-z code coefficients use b ± 1.959963984540054 × SE on the log-odds scale. These are reporting-derived intervals. The native ±0.5 factor coding, ±0.25 interaction products and sample intercepts are retained. Exact-conditional and Firth terms retain unavailable intervals with their actual reasons; refused models remain refused.
| Factor | Level | Native effect code |
|---|---|---|
| Frame | Gain frame | 0.5 |
| Frame | Loss frame | -0.5 |
| Model | GPT-6 Sol | 0.5 |
| Model | GPT-5.6 Terra | -0.5 |
Maximum price for one course (US dollars)
Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars
Unprotected share lowers the price
Some protection is worth paying for
Framing recognised
Price set by the 25 dollar reference
Price derived by arithmetic
Rationale coding
All 320 captured rationales were coded once by the single frozen Claude Sonnet 5 coding instrument: 317 eligible scientific rationales and 3 audit-only captures. All 320 replies passed the registered coding parser; no invalid or unavailable coder replies remained. Audit-only codes are retained for coverage but excluded from scientific estimates. The 80 previously coded pilot rationales plus these 320 exhaust the explicitly authorized 400 PRICE-03 transfers; PRICE-02 was excluded. This is one coder, not a consensus panel.
The two independent samples
These are separate sets of sessions within one planned study. The pooled tests account for the sample blocks. No sample-specific p values, significance stars or hypothesis verdicts have been added.
Sample 1: Maximum price for one course (US dollars)
Sample 2: Maximum price for one course (US dollars)
Sample 1: Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars
Sample 2: Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars
Sample 1: Unprotected share lowers the price
Sample 2: Unprotected share lowers the price
Sample 1: Some protection is worth paying for
Sample 2: Some protection is worth paying for
Sample 1: Framing recognised
Sample 2: Framing recognised
Sample 1: Price set by the 25 dollar reference
Sample 2: Price set by the 25 dollar reference
Sample 1: Price derived by arithmetic
Sample 2: Price derived by arithmetic
Inferential statistics and descriptive intervals
Maximum price for one course (US dollars): Frozen tests computed.
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Test statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | 10.0278846154 | 20.0557692308 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 1.43662789856e-18 | 5.74651159423e-18 | *** | Unavailable | 2889449982408278562837529605317066835833256100 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | 8.36962025316 | 16.7461538462 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 2.1551843225e-15 | 6.4655529675e-15 | *** | Unavailable | 5778899964816557125675059210634133671666512200 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 7.1125 | 14.225 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 6.86188497105e-11 | 1.37237699421e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | 5.45423563778 | 10.9153846154 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 1.61838423584e-10 | 1.61838423584e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 1463012649320647373588622584970666752320636000 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | Statistic label | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| main effect of Frame | ols-wald-t | 9.19690692713 | 0.657735056608 | 13.9826923238 | t | 312 | 7.89711238136e-35 | [7.90274973245, 10.4910641218] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| main effect of Model | ols-wald-t | 6.28152231175 | 0.657735056608 | 9.55023188842 | t | 312 | 3.96648515257e-19 | [4.98736511707, 7.57567950643] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| interaction | ols-wald-t | 1.66195537651 | 1.31547011322 | 1.26339272919 | t | 312 | 0.207391312348 | [-0.926359012853, 4.25026976587] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: Frozen tests computed.
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Test statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | 2.49198717949 | 4.98397435897 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 2.27869858787e-19 | 9.1147943515e-19 | *** | Unavailable | 2889449982408278562837529605317066835833256100 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | 2.49841772152 | 4.99743589744 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 4.34580696066e-15 | 1.3037420882e-14 | *** | Unavailable | 5778899964816557125675059210634133671666512200 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 1.1875 | 2.375 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 0.000335871490568 | 0.000335871490568 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | 1.19393054203 | 2.38846153846 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 7.25947653546e-11 | 1.45189530709e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 1463012649320647373588622584970666752320636000 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | Statistic label | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|
Unprotected share lowers the price: Frozen tests computed.
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Test statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | -0.182692307692 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 0.00604538301047 | 0.0120907660209 | * | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | -0.470253164557 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 8.40895254693e-10 | 3.36358101877e-09 | *** | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | -0.025 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 0.81941012676 | 0.81941012676 | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. | |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | -0.312560856865 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 0.000114337831679 | 0.000343013495036 | *** | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | Statistic label | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| main effect of Frame | wald-z | -1.68749005664 | 0.286344816587 | -5.89320972091 | z | Unavailable | 3.78765187312e-09 | [-2.24871558431, -1.12626452897] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% normal/Wald coefficient interval from native b and SE. | Unavailable |
| main effect of Model | wald-z | -0.760688615867 | 0.286125453373 | -2.65858422206 | z | Unavailable | 0.00784697349652 | [-1.32148419954, -0.199893032196] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% normal/Wald coefficient interval from native b and SE. | Unavailable |
| interaction | wald-z | 1.09776971479 | 0.572205018679 | 1.91849018962 | z | Unavailable | 0.0550488848832 | [-0.0237315135969, 2.21927094317] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% normal/Wald coefficient interval from native b and SE. | Unavailable |
Some protection is worth paying for: Frozen tests computed.
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Test statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | 0.144871794872 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 0.0517169369719 | 0.155150810916 | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. | |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | 0.285917721519 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 6.63868312906e-05 | 0.000265547325162 | *** | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | -0.0625 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 0.516460827 | 0.516460827 | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. | |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | 0.0785459266472 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 0.19993036634 | 0.399860732679 | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | Statistic label | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| main effect of Frame | wald-z | 1.16088148544 | 0.274365412626 | 4.23115098339 | z | Unavailable | 2.32498537338e-05 | [0.623135158091, 1.69862781279] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% normal/Wald coefficient interval from native b and SE. | Unavailable |
| main effect of Model | wald-z | 0.154995336834 | 0.27425290768 | 0.565154762241 | z | Unavailable | 0.571968503237 | [-0.382530484875, 0.692521158542] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% normal/Wald coefficient interval from native b and SE. | Unavailable |
| interaction | wald-z | -0.843796764108 | 0.548519716686 | -1.53831619619 | z | Unavailable | 0.123971321554 | [-1.91887565362, 0.231282125406] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% normal/Wald coefficient interval from native b and SE. | Unavailable |
Framing recognised: Frozen tests computed.
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Test statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | 0 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 1 | 1 | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. | |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | 0 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 1 | 1 | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. | |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 0 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 1 | 1 | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. | |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | 0 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 1 | 1 | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | Statistic label | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| main effect of Frame | firth-penalized-likelihood-ratio | -0.0186998007455 | Unavailable | 0.000174481382038 | Likelihood-ratio chi-square | Unavailable | 0.989460937536 | Unavailable | Unavailable | Native Firth penalized likelihood-ratio terms do not supply the standard error or profile-likelihood interval required for a supported interval; do not fabricate a Wald interval. |
| main effect of Model | firth-penalized-likelihood-ratio | 0.0062737670158 | Unavailable | 1.96398190928e-05 | Likelihood-ratio chi-square | Unavailable | 0.996464039691 | Unavailable | Unavailable | Native Firth penalized likelihood-ratio terms do not supply the standard error or profile-likelihood interval required for a supported interval; do not fabricate a Wald interval. |
| interaction | firth-penalized-likelihood-ratio | -0.0125475340316 | Unavailable | 1.96398190928e-05 | Likelihood-ratio chi-square | Unavailable | 0.996464039691 | Unavailable | Unavailable | Native Firth penalized likelihood-ratio terms do not supply the standard error or profile-likelihood interval required for a supported interval; do not fabricate a Wald interval. |
Price set by the 25 dollar reference: Frozen tests computed.
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Test statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | 0.359294871795 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 5.1319013309e-10 | 2.05276053236e-09 | *** | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | 0.0650316455696 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 0.299745308647 | 0.299745308647 | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. | |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 0.125 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 0.00475192896425 | 0.0142557868927 | * | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | -0.169263226225 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 0.0209539889078 | 0.0419079778156 | * | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | Statistic label | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| main effect of Frame | firth-penalized-likelihood-ratio | 1.96521624719 | Unavailable | 27.8690061444 | Likelihood-ratio chi-square | Unavailable | 1.29812609484e-07 | Unavailable | Unavailable | Native Firth penalized likelihood-ratio terms do not supply the standard error or profile-likelihood interval required for a supported interval; do not fabricate a Wald interval. |
| main effect of Model | firth-penalized-likelihood-ratio | 0.667159360872 | Unavailable | 2.38573583034 | Likelihood-ratio chi-square | Unavailable | 0.122447224542 | Unavailable | Unavailable | Native Firth penalized likelihood-ratio terms do not supply the standard error or profile-likelihood interval required for a supported interval; do not fabricate a Wald interval. |
| interaction | firth-penalized-likelihood-ratio | 3.02628559806 | Unavailable | 14.7664150431 | Likelihood-ratio chi-square | Unavailable | 0.000121683548229 | Unavailable | Unavailable | Native Firth penalized likelihood-ratio terms do not supply the standard error or profile-likelihood interval required for a supported interval; do not fabricate a Wald interval. |
Price derived by arithmetic: Frozen tests computed.
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Test statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | -0.359294871795 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 6.53832782046e-10 | 2.61533112819e-09 | *** | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | -0.434810126582 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 3.72721673211e-08 | 7.45443346423e-08 | *** | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | -0.3375 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 8.04277540163e-09 | 2.41283262049e-08 | *** | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-conditional-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | -0.413015254787 | Unavailable | Not exported by native conditional comparison | Unavailable | 1.55139702342e-07 | 1.55139702342e-07 | *** | Unavailable | Unavailable | proportion difference | Unavailable | Native conditional pairwise output supplies no test statistic, SE, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator/denominator. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | Statistic label | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| main effect of Frame | firth-penalized-likelihood-ratio | -2.67843032601 | Unavailable | 68.9107966827 | Likelihood-ratio chi-square | Unavailable | 1.03019291197e-16 | Unavailable | Unavailable | Native Firth penalized likelihood-ratio terms do not supply the standard error or profile-likelihood interval required for a supported interval; do not fabricate a Wald interval. |
| main effect of Model | firth-penalized-likelihood-ratio | -2.58448059777 | Unavailable | 62.9786085245 | Likelihood-ratio chi-square | Unavailable | 2.08963760325e-15 | Unavailable | Unavailable | Native Firth penalized likelihood-ratio terms do not supply the standard error or profile-likelihood interval required for a supported interval; do not fabricate a Wald interval. |
| interaction | firth-penalized-likelihood-ratio | -1.56962091533 | Unavailable | 3.76823174861 | Likelihood-ratio chi-square | Unavailable | 0.0522348254829 | Unavailable | Unavailable | Native Firth penalized likelihood-ratio terms do not supply the standard error or profile-likelihood interval required for a supported interval; do not fabricate a Wald interval. |
| ID | Model | Outcome | Prediction | Holm p | Source verdict/status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1a | GPT-5.6 Terra | price | gain > loss | 6.4655529675e-15 | confirmed |
| H1b | GPT-6 Sol | price | gain > loss | 5.74651159423e-18 | confirmed |
| H2a | GPT-5.6 Terra | likelihood | gain > loss | 1.3037420882e-14 | confirmed |
| H2b | GPT-6 Sol | likelihood | gain > loss | 9.1147943515e-19 | confirmed |
H1c from the original Opus/Sonnet study was not transferred. The source-supported price interaction is reported as an estimate and test without a directional H1c verdict. Exact permutation comparisons do not supply a conventional contrast SE, t statistic or degrees of freedom; unavailable quantities stay unavailable. The table above keeps the actual source method for each quantity.
| Outcome | Sample | Model | Frame | Scheduled | Valid n | Code successes | Mean or percent | Sample SD | 95% CI lower | 95% CI upper | Interval method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| price | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | Unavailable | 23.9125 | 3.54784209687 | 23.1229664163 | 24.7020335837 | t mean interval |
| price | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | Unavailable | 16.8 | 8.16196799301 | 14.9836429967 | 18.6163570033 | t mean interval |
| price | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 80 | 78 | Unavailable | 13.8846153846 | 7.31655438249 | 12.2349872631 | 15.5342435061 | t mean interval |
| price | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 80 | 79 | Unavailable | 8.43037974684 | 2.09812825195 | 7.96042462565 | 8.90033486802 | t mean interval |
| price | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | Unavailable | 23.7 | 4.07116187032 | 22.3979792667 | 25.0020207333 | t mean interval |
| price | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | Unavailable | 16.125 | 8.21876371014 | 13.4965118451 | 18.7534881549 | t mean interval |
| price | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | Unavailable | 13.3333333333 | 7.51606466644 | 10.8969070185 | 15.7697596481 | t mean interval |
| price | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 40 | Unavailable | 8.7 | 2.89296228272 | 7.77478577546 | 9.62521422454 | t mean interval |
| price | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | Unavailable | 24.125 | 2.97155316377 | 23.1746511923 | 25.0753488077 | t mean interval |
| price | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | Unavailable | 17.475 | 8.15235533057 | 14.8677502752 | 20.0822497248 | t mean interval |
| price | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | Unavailable | 14.4358974359 | 7.16642343372 | 12.1128116973 | 16.7589831745 | t mean interval |
| price | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | Unavailable | 8.15384615385 | 0.539905524799 | 7.97882902899 | 8.3288632787 | t mean interval |
| likelihood | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | Unavailable | 4.8125 | 1.06846334708 | 4.57472512941 | 5.05027487059 | t mean interval |
| likelihood | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | Unavailable | 3.625 | 2.64036341956 | 3.03741590354 | 4.21258409646 | t mean interval |
| likelihood | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 80 | 78 | Unavailable | 2.32051282051 | 1.61561849155 | 1.95624713506 | 2.68477850597 | t mean interval |
| likelihood | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 80 | 79 | Unavailable | 1.12658227848 | 0.434625940191 | 1.0292313724 | 1.22393318456 | t mean interval |
| likelihood | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | Unavailable | 4.75 | 1.14913568412 | 4.3824885785 | 5.1175114215 | t mean interval |
| likelihood | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | Unavailable | 3.325 | 2.61541289577 | 2.4885503758 | 4.1614496242 | t mean interval |
| likelihood | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | Unavailable | 2.23076923077 | 1.66166591204 | 1.69211945404 | 2.7694190075 | t mean interval |
| likelihood | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 40 | Unavailable | 1.15 | 0.533493565674 | 0.979380480136 | 1.32061951986 | t mean interval |
| likelihood | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | Unavailable | 4.875 | 0.991954817002 | 4.55775745858 | 5.19224254142 | t mean interval |
| likelihood | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | Unavailable | 3.925 | 2.66398101941 | 3.07301753628 | 4.77698246372 | t mean interval |
| likelihood | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | Unavailable | 2.41025641026 | 1.58476212258 | 1.8965359582 | 2.92397686231 | t mean interval |
| likelihood | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | Unavailable | 1.10256410256 | 0.307354740605 | 1.00293122137 | 1.20219698376 | t mean interval |
| SHORTFALL | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | 10 | 12.5 | Unavailable | 6.933557616 | 21.5028020992 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| SHORTFALL | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | 12 | 15 | Unavailable | 8.79404050616 | 24.4132285613 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| SHORTFALL | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 80 | 78 | 24 | 30.7692307692 | Unavailable | 21.6319285556 | 41.7118333564 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| SHORTFALL | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 80 | 79 | 49 | 62.0253164557 | Unavailable | 51.0018712438 | 71.9335046785 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| SHORTFALL | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 4 | 10 | Unavailable | 3.95795286826 | 23.0517752275 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| SHORTFALL | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 6 | 15 | Unavailable | 7.06118771732 | 29.0723243665 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| SHORTFALL | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 8 | 20.5128205128 | Unavailable | 10.7797182307 | 35.5339680136 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| SHORTFALL | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 40 | 26 | 65 | Unavailable | 49.5058808373 | 77.8654711268 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| SHORTFALL | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 6 | 15 | Unavailable | 7.06118771732 | 29.0723243665 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| SHORTFALL | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 6 | 15 | Unavailable | 7.06118771732 | 29.0723243665 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| SHORTFALL | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 16 | 41.0256410256 | Unavailable | 27.0793100007 | 56.5813771171 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| SHORTFALL | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 23 | 58.9743589744 | Unavailable | 43.4186228829 | 72.9206899993 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | 28 | 35 | Unavailable | 25.4545505349 | 45.9199933512 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | 33 | 41.25 | Unavailable | 31.1058576128 | 52.1959596541 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 80 | 78 | 16 | 20.5128205128 | Unavailable | 13.0397952198 | 30.7539730452 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 80 | 79 | 10 | 12.6582278481 | Unavailable | 7.02326346968 | 21.7563586665 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 16 | 40 | Unavailable | 26.3483256843 | 55.4041063397 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 15 | 37.5 | Unavailable | 24.2229791672 | 52.9675608627 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 4 | 10.2564102564 | Unavailable | 4.06133134467 | 23.5788544629 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 40 | 4 | 10 | Unavailable | 3.95795286826 | 23.0517752275 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 12 | 30 | Unavailable | 18.0748452297 | 45.4300188181 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 18 | 45 | Unavailable | 30.7053078109 | 60.1709082011 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 12 | 30.7692307692 | Unavailable | 18.5659323069 | 46.4212543741 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 6 | 15.3846153846 | Unavailable | 7.24747237698 | 29.7294636489 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 4.58181295355 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 4.58181295355 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 80 | 78 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 4.69378097122 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 80 | 79 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 4.63712116539 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 8.76216011973 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 8.76216011973 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 8.96668537076 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 40 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 8.76216011973 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 8.76216011973 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 8.76216011973 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 8.96668537076 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 8.96668537076 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | 79 | 98.75 | Unavailable | 93.2537299223 | 99.779002448 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | 69 | 86.25 | Unavailable | 77.032899933 | 92.1452856757 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 80 | 78 | 49 | 62.8205128205 | Unavailable | 51.7310537813 | 72.7064382774 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 80 | 79 | 63 | 79.746835443 | Unavailable | 69.6039875521 | 87.1308897293 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 39 | 97.5 | Unavailable | 87.1186310365 | 99.5573168497 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 34 | 85 | Unavailable | 70.9276756335 | 92.9388122827 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 19 | 48.7179487179 | Unavailable | 33.8651753299 | 63.8006371155 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 40 | 32 | 80 | Unavailable | 65.2426936536 | 89.5000102746 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 40 | 100 | Unavailable | 91.2378398803 | 100 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 35 | 87.5 | Unavailable | 73.8878801611 | 94.5404997491 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 30 | 76.9230769231 | Unavailable | 61.6637427717 | 87.3541958749 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 31 | 79.4871794872 | Unavailable | 64.4660319864 | 89.2202817693 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | 1 | 1.25 | Unavailable | 0.220997552045 | 6.74627007767 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | 28 | 35 | Unavailable | 25.4545505349 | 45.9199933512 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 80 | 78 | 29 | 37.1794871795 | Unavailable | 27.2935617226 | 48.2689462187 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 80 | 79 | 62 | 78.4810126582 | Unavailable | 68.2128319163 | 86.1077952679 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 1 | 2.5 | Unavailable | 0.442683150268 | 12.8813689635 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 15 | 37.5 | Unavailable | 24.2229791672 | 52.9675608627 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 19 | 48.7179487179 | Unavailable | 33.8651753299 | 63.8006371155 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | sample-1 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 40 | 31 | 77.5 | Unavailable | 62.4969032577 | 87.6839086765 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 0 | 0 | Unavailable | 0 | 8.76216011973 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 40 | 40 | 13 | 32.5 | Unavailable | 20.0845022318 | 47.9822538101 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 10 | 25.641025641 | Unavailable | 14.568780541 | 41.0816559217 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 40 | 39 | 31 | 79.4871794872 | Unavailable | 64.4660319864 | 89.2202817693 | Wilson proportion interval (%) |
| Outcome | Model | Gain n | Loss n | Gain−loss | Welch SE | Satterthwaite df | 95% CI lower | 95% CI upper | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| price | GPT-6 Sol | 80 | 78 | 10.0278846154 | 0.918502627522 | 110.682354494 | 8.20775278201 | 11.8480164488 | Reporting-only unadjusted Welch/Satterthwaite; not the registered exact permutation interval |
| price | GPT-5.6 Terra | 80 | 79 | 8.36962025316 | 0.942573518347 | 89.5206538507 | 6.49689682673 | 10.2423436796 | Reporting-only unadjusted Welch/Satterthwaite; not the registered exact permutation interval |
| likelihood | GPT-6 Sol | 80 | 78 | 2.49198717949 | 0.218482431558 | 133.084227583 | 2.05983990389 | 2.92413445508 | Reporting-only unadjusted Welch/Satterthwaite; not the registered exact permutation interval |
| likelihood | GPT-5.6 Terra | 80 | 79 | 2.49841772152 | 0.299224201703 | 83.3312815574 | 1.90330780741 | 3.09352763563 | Reporting-only unadjusted Welch/Satterthwaite; not the registered exact permutation interval |
Missingness and endpoint scenarios
Original grammar-only sensitivity and separate native all-unavailable bounds remain different analyses. Endpoint assignments are hypothetical sensitivity scenarios, not imputed observations or confidence intervals. Unknown failures are never relabelled provider truncation.
| Outcome | Sample | Model | Frame | Classification | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| price | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 2 |
| price | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| price | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| price | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| price | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| likelihood | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 2 |
| likelihood | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| likelihood | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| likelihood | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| likelihood | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| SHORTFALL | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 2 |
| SHORTFALL | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| SHORTFALL | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| SHORTFALL | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| SHORTFALL | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 2 |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| PROTECTION_VALUE | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 2 |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| FRAME_EQUIVALENCE | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 2 |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| REFERENCE_PRICE | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | Pooled | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 2 |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | Pooled | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | sample-1 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | sample-2 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| CALCULATED_PRICE | sample-2 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | known-failure | 1 |
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 23.9125 | 0 | 23.9125 | 23.9125 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 16.8 | 0 | 16.8 | 16.8 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 13.8846153846 | 0 | 13.8846153846 | 13.8846153846 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 8.43037974684 | 0 | 8.43037974684 | 8.43037974684 |
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | 10.0278846154 | 20.0557692308 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 1.43662789856e-18 | 5.74651159423e-18 | *** | Unavailable | 2889449982408278562837529605317066835833256100 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | 8.36962025316 | 16.7461538462 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 2.1551843225e-15 | 6.4655529675e-15 | *** | Unavailable | 5778899964816557125675059210634133671666512200 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 7.1125 | 14.225 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 6.86188497105e-11 | 1.37237699421e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | 5.45423563778 | 10.9153846154 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 1.61838423584e-10 | 1.61838423584e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 1463012649320647373588622584970666752320636000 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| main effect of Frame | ols-wald-t | 9.19690692713 | 0.657735056608 | 13.9826923238 | 312 | 7.89711238136e-35 | [7.90274973245, 10.4910641218] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| main effect of Model | ols-wald-t | 6.28152231175 | 0.657735056608 | 9.55023188842 | 312 | 3.96648515257e-19 | [4.98736511707, 7.57567950643] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| interaction | ols-wald-t | 1.66195537651 | 1.31547011322 | 1.26339272919 | 312 | 0.207391312348 | [-0.926359012853, 4.25026976587] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | 10.0278846154 | 20.0557692308 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 1.43662789856e-18 | 5.74651159423e-18 | *** | Unavailable | 2889449982408278562837529605317066835833256100 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | 8.36962025316 | 16.7461538462 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 2.1551843225e-15 | 6.4655529675e-15 | *** | Unavailable | 5778899964816557125675059210634133671666512200 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 7.1125 | 14.225 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 6.86188497105e-11 | 1.37237699421e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | 5.45423563778 | 10.9153846154 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 1.61838423584e-10 | 1.61838423584e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 1463012649320647373588622584970666752320636000 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| main effect of Frame | ols-wald-t | 9.19690692713 | 0.657735056608 | 13.9826923238 | 312 | 7.89711238136e-35 | [7.90274973245, 10.4910641218] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| main effect of Model | ols-wald-t | 6.28152231175 | 0.657735056608 | 9.55023188842 | 312 | 3.96648515257e-19 | [4.98736511707, 7.57567950643] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| interaction | ols-wald-t | 1.66195537651 | 1.31547011322 | 1.26339272919 | 312 | 0.207391312348 | [-0.926359012853, 4.25026976587] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | 10.0278846154 | 20.0557692308 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 1.43662789856e-18 | 5.74651159423e-18 | *** | Unavailable | 2889449982408278562837529605317066835833256100 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | 8.36962025316 | 16.7461538462 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 2.1551843225e-15 | 6.4655529675e-15 | *** | Unavailable | 5778899964816557125675059210634133671666512200 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 7.1125 | 14.225 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 6.86188497105e-11 | 1.37237699421e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | 5.45423563778 | 10.9153846154 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 1.61838423584e-10 | 1.61838423584e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 1463012649320647373588622584970666752320636000 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| main effect of Frame | ols-wald-t | 9.19690692713 | 0.657735056608 | 13.9826923238 | 312 | 7.89711238136e-35 | [7.90274973245, 10.4910641218] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| main effect of Model | ols-wald-t | 6.28152231175 | 0.657735056608 | 9.55023188842 | 312 | 3.96648515257e-19 | [4.98736511707, 7.57567950643] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| interaction | ols-wald-t | 1.66195537651 | 1.31547011322 | 1.26339272919 | 312 | 0.207391312348 | [-0.926359012853, 4.25026976587] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 23.9125 | 0 | 23.9125 | 23.9125 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 16.8 | 0 | 16.8 | 16.8 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 13.8846153846 | 2 | 13.5375 | 15.0375 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 8.43037974684 | 1 | 8.325 | 9.075 |
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 10.375 | 20.75 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 4.80730317684e-19 | 1.92292127073e-18 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 8.475 | 16.95 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 1.03719777571e-15 | 3.11159332712e-15 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 7.1125 | 14.225 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 6.86188497105e-11 | 1.37237699421e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 5.2125 | 10.425 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 6.07639900394e-09 | 6.07639900394e-09 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| main effect of Frame | ols-wald-t | 9.425 | 0.665074736223 | 14.1713396806 | 315 | 1.31733612234e-35 | [8.11644980505, 10.733550195] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| main effect of Model | ols-wald-t | 6.1625 | 0.665074736223 | 9.26587594501 | 315 | 3.12839417011e-18 | [4.85394980505, 7.47105019495] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| interaction | ols-wald-t | 1.9 | 1.33014947245 | 1.42841089619 | 315 | 0.154164385296 | [-0.717100389903, 4.5171003899] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 8.875 | 17.75 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 2.90584873492e-12 | 1.16233949397e-11 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 7.725 | 15.45 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 3.45244710593e-11 | 1.03573413178e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 7.1125 | 14.225 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 6.86188497105e-11 | 1.37237699421e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 5.9625 | 11.925 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 6.60610965034e-07 | 6.60610965034e-07 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| main effect of Frame | ols-wald-t | 8.3 | 0.831684678687 | 9.97974378115 | 315 | 1.46547284201e-20 | [6.66364082236, 9.93635917764] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| main effect of Model | ols-wald-t | 6.5375 | 0.831684678687 | 7.86055120112 | 315 | 6.12191239039e-14 | [4.90114082236, 8.17385917764] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| interaction | ols-wald-t | 1.15 | 1.66336935737 | 0.691367792068 | 315 | 0.489843646643 | [-2.12271835528, 4.42271835528] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 8.875 | 17.75 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 2.90584873492e-12 | 1.16233949397e-11 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 7.725 | 15.45 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 3.45244710593e-11 | 1.03573413178e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 7.1125 | 14.225 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 6.86188497105e-11 | 1.37237699421e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 5.9625 | 11.925 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 6.60610965034e-07 | 6.60610965034e-07 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| Term | Method | b | SE | Statistic | df | p | 95% coefficient CI | Interval method | Interval unavailable reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| main effect of Frame | ols-wald-t | 8.3 | 0.831684678687 | 9.97974378115 | 315 | 1.46547284201e-20 | [6.66364082236, 9.93635917764] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| main effect of Model | ols-wald-t | 6.5375 | 0.831684678687 | 7.86055120112 | 315 | 6.12191239039e-14 | [4.90114082236, 8.17385917764] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| interaction | ols-wald-t | 1.15 | 1.66336935737 | 0.691367792068 | 315 | 0.489843646643 | [-2.12271835528, 4.42271835528] | Reporting-derived individual unadjusted 95% Wald-t coefficient interval from native b, SE and residual df. | Unavailable |
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 4.8125 | 0 | 4.8125 | 4.8125 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 3.625 | 0 | 3.625 | 3.625 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 2.32051282051 | 0 | 2.32051282051 | 2.32051282051 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 1.12658227848 | 0 | 1.12658227848 | 1.12658227848 |
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | 2.49198717949 | 4.98397435897 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 2.27869858787e-19 | 9.1147943515e-19 | *** | Unavailable | 2889449982408278562837529605317066835833256100 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | 2.49841772152 | 4.99743589744 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 4.34580696066e-15 | 1.3037420882e-14 | *** | Unavailable | 5778899964816557125675059210634133671666512200 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 1.1875 | 2.375 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 0.000335871490568 | 0.000335871490568 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | 1.19393054203 | 2.38846153846 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 7.25947653546e-11 | 1.45189530709e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 1463012649320647373588622584970666752320636000 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only): all-minimum: model terms not declared. No likelihood omnibus model is declared.
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | 2.49198717949 | 4.98397435897 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 2.27869858787e-19 | 9.1147943515e-19 | *** | Unavailable | 2889449982408278562837529605317066835833256100 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | 2.49841772152 | 4.99743589744 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 4.34580696066e-15 | 1.3037420882e-14 | *** | Unavailable | 5778899964816557125675059210634133671666512200 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 1.1875 | 2.375 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 0.000335871490568 | 0.000335871490568 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | 1.19393054203 | 2.38846153846 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 7.25947653546e-11 | 1.45189530709e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 1463012649320647373588622584970666752320636000 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only): all-maximum: model terms not declared. No likelihood omnibus model is declared.
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 78 | 2.49198717949 | 4.98397435897 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 2.27869858787e-19 | 9.1147943515e-19 | *** | Unavailable | 2889449982408278562837529605317066835833256100 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 79 | 2.49841772152 | 4.99743589744 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 4.34580696066e-15 | 1.3037420882e-14 | *** | Unavailable | 5778899964816557125675059210634133671666512200 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 1.1875 | 2.375 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 0.000335871490568 | 0.000335871490568 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 78 | 79 | 1.19393054203 | 2.38846153846 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 7.25947653546e-11 | 1.45189530709e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 1463012649320647373588622584970666752320636000 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only): least-favourable: model terms not declared. No likelihood omnibus model is declared.
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 4.8125 | 0 | 4.8125 | 4.8125 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 3.625 | 0 | 3.625 | 3.625 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 2.32051282051 | 2 | 2.2875 | 2.4375 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 1.12658227848 | 1 | 1.125 | 1.2 |
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 2.525 | 5.05 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 7.83172471542e-20 | 3.13268988617e-19 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 2.5 | 5 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 3.85046259059e-15 | 1.15513877718e-14 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 1.1875 | 2.375 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 0.000335871490568 | 0.000335871490568 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 1.1625 | 2.325 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 3.13362160791e-10 | 6.26724321582e-10 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable): all-minimum: model terms not declared. No likelihood omnibus model is declared.
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 2.375 | 4.75 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 3.4947059644e-17 | 1.39788238576e-16 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 2.425 | 4.85 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 2.22224759577e-13 | 6.66674278731e-13 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 1.1875 | 2.375 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 0.000335871490568 | 0.000335871490568 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 1.2375 | 2.475 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 1.01480031545e-08 | 2.02960063089e-08 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable): all-maximum: model terms not declared. No likelihood omnibus model is declared.
| Comparison | Method | First n | Second n | Pooled effect | Statistic | Statistic label | df | Raw p | Holm p | Stars | Exact numerator | Exact denominator | Effect scale | Contrast SE | Source limitations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 2.375 | 4.75 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 3.4947059644e-17 | 1.39788238576e-16 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 2.425 | 4.85 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 2.22224759577e-13 | 6.66674278731e-13 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Gain frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Gain frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 1.1875 | 2.375 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 0.000335871490568 | 0.000335871490568 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
| GPT-6 Sol in Loss frame against GPT-5.6 Terra in Loss frame | exact-permutation-mean-difference-stratified-by-sample | 80 | 80 | 1.2375 | 2.475 | Summed within-sample difference in means | Unavailable | 1.01480031545e-08 | 2.02960063089e-08 | *** | Unavailable | 11557799929633114251350118421268267343333024400 | outcome units | Unavailable | Native exact output supplies no SE, t, df, contrast interval or exact tail numerator; its exact allocation count is retained. |
Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable): least-favourable: model terms not declared. No likelihood omnibus model is declared.
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 0.125 | 0 | 0.125 | 0.125 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 0.15 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 0.307692307692 | 0 | 0.307692307692 | 0.307692307692 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 0.620253164557 | 0 | 0.620253164557 | 0.620253164557 |
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 0.125 | 0 | 0.125 | 0.125 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 0.15 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 0.307692307692 | 2 | 0.3 | 0.325 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 0.620253164557 | 1 | 0.6125 | 0.625 |
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 0.35 | 0 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 0.4125 | 0 | 0.4125 | 0.4125 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 0.205128205128 | 0 | 0.205128205128 | 0.205128205128 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 0.126582278481 | 0 | 0.126582278481 | 0.126582278481 |
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 0.35 | 0 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 0.4125 | 0 | 0.4125 | 0.4125 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 0.205128205128 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.225 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 0.126582278481 | 1 | 0.125 | 0.1375 |
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.025 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0125 |
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 0.9875 | 0 | 0.9875 | 0.9875 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 0.8625 | 0 | 0.8625 | 0.8625 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 0.628205128205 | 0 | 0.628205128205 | 0.628205128205 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 0.79746835443 | 0 | 0.79746835443 | 0.79746835443 |
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 0.9875 | 0 | 0.9875 | 0.9875 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 0.8625 | 0 | 0.8625 | 0.8625 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 0.628205128205 | 2 | 0.6125 | 0.6375 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 0.79746835443 | 1 | 0.7875 | 0.8 |
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 0.0125 | 0 | 0.0125 | 0.0125 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 0.35 | 0 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 0.371794871795 | 0 | 0.371794871795 | 0.371794871795 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 0.784810126582 | 0 | 0.784810126582 | 0.784810126582 |
| Model | Frame | Observed | Included unavailable | Lower endpoint bound | Upper endpoint bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 0.0125 | 0 | 0.0125 | 0.0125 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 0.35 | 0 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 0.371794871795 | 2 | 0.3625 | 0.3875 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 0.784810126582 | 1 | 0.775 | 0.7875 |
Retained pilot attempts
| Attempt | Native target | Stage | Scheduled | Eligible | Known failed | Unknown | Unattempted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First epoch measurement pilot (closed no-go) | PRICE03-SOL-TERRA-20261007 | measurement | 40 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| E2 measurement pilot | PRICE03-SOL-TERRA-20261007-E2 | measurement | 40 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E2 execution pilot | PRICE03-SOL-TERRA-20261007-E2 | execution | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Original and amended main accounting
| Model | Frame | Scheduled | Eligible | Known failed | Original unknown | Accepted 503 subset | Accepted null-status subset | Unattempted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 80 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 80 | 78 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 80 | 79 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manipulation checks and collection accounting
| Check | Expected | Model | Frame | Correct | Incorrect | Missing | Scheduled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Protected count | 300 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 80 | 0 | 0 | 80 |
| Protected count | 300 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 80 | 0 | 0 | 80 |
| Protected count | 300 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 78 | 0 | 2 | 80 |
| Protected count | 300 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 79 | 0 | 1 | 80 |
| Unprotected count | 600 | GPT-6 Sol | Gain frame | 80 | 0 | 0 | 80 |
| Unprotected count | 600 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Gain frame | 80 | 0 | 0 | 80 |
| Unprotected count | 600 | GPT-6 Sol | Loss frame | 78 | 0 | 2 | 80 |
| Unprotected count | 600 | GPT-5.6 Terra | Loss frame | 79 | 0 | 1 | 80 |
PRICE-02 predecessor results · PRICE-01 original study record
Comparison with PRICE-02
PRICE-02 planned 160 main sessions; PRICE-03 planned 320. They are separate studies and are not pooled here. Comparison intervals are descriptive, not tests of a between-study difference; overlap does not establish equivalence or replication success.
| Hypothesis | Outcome | Model | Study | Gain n | Gain mean | Gain mean 95% CI | Loss n | Loss mean | Loss mean 95% CI | Gain−loss | Gain−loss 95% CI | Method | Source seal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1a | price | GPT-5.6 Terra | PRICE-02 | 37 | 18.9459459459 | [16.2453104222, 21.6465814697] | 38 | 9.36842105263 | [8.03070994427, 10.706132161] | 9.57752489331 | [6.59609614686, 12.5589536398] | Reporting-only Welch/Satterthwaite; no cross-study test | sha256:a926f9489071713b43eafe086008a1e5c580c481d3f116afd3546fa7ae377a13 |
| H1a | price | GPT-5.6 Terra | PRICE-03 | 80 | 16.8 | [14.9836429967, 18.6163570033] | 79 | 8.43037974684 | [7.96042462565, 8.90033486802] | 8.36962025316 | [6.49689682673, 10.2423436796] | Reporting-only Welch/Satterthwaite; no cross-study test | sha256:a8bb0432c101ec03b5453c29ff40bc0074f5e8f4ad0ea4ba7f68d90fbdec9d9b |
| H1b | price | GPT-6 Sol | PRICE-02 | 39 | 24.358974359 | [23.5127230401, 25.2052256779] | 39 | 14.0769230769 | [11.528384865, 16.6254612888] | 10.2820512821 | [7.61237303232, 12.9517295318] | Reporting-only Welch/Satterthwaite; no cross-study test | sha256:a926f9489071713b43eafe086008a1e5c580c481d3f116afd3546fa7ae377a13 |
| H1b | price | GPT-6 Sol | PRICE-03 | 80 | 23.9125 | [23.1229664163, 24.7020335837] | 78 | 13.8846153846 | [12.2349872631, 15.5342435061] | 10.0278846154 | [8.20775278201, 11.8480164488] | Reporting-only Welch/Satterthwaite; no cross-study test | sha256:a8bb0432c101ec03b5453c29ff40bc0074f5e8f4ad0ea4ba7f68d90fbdec9d9b |
| H2a | likelihood | GPT-5.6 Terra | PRICE-02 | 37 | 4.7027027027 | [3.78668356581, 5.6187218396] | 38 | 1.47368421053 | [1.0232843984, 1.92408402265] | 3.22901849218 | [2.21912084056, 4.2389161438] | Reporting-only Welch/Satterthwaite; no cross-study test | sha256:a926f9489071713b43eafe086008a1e5c580c481d3f116afd3546fa7ae377a13 |
| H2a | likelihood | GPT-5.6 Terra | PRICE-03 | 80 | 3.625 | [3.03741590354, 4.21258409646] | 79 | 1.12658227848 | [1.0292313724, 1.22393318456] | 2.49841772152 | [1.90330780741, 3.09352763563] | Reporting-only Welch/Satterthwaite; no cross-study test | sha256:a8bb0432c101ec03b5453c29ff40bc0074f5e8f4ad0ea4ba7f68d90fbdec9d9b |
| H2b | likelihood | GPT-6 Sol | PRICE-02 | 39 | 4.89743589744 | [4.58372225538, 5.21114953949] | 39 | 2.5641025641 | [2.02888623599, 3.09931889222] | 2.33333333333 | [1.72061474558, 2.94605192109] | Reporting-only Welch/Satterthwaite; no cross-study test | sha256:a926f9489071713b43eafe086008a1e5c580c481d3f116afd3546fa7ae377a13 |
| H2b | likelihood | GPT-6 Sol | PRICE-03 | 80 | 4.8125 | [4.57472512941, 5.05027487059] | 78 | 2.32051282051 | [1.95624713506, 2.68477850597] | 2.49198717949 | [2.05983990389, 2.92413445508] | Reporting-only Welch/Satterthwaite; no cross-study test | sha256:a8bb0432c101ec03b5453c29ff40bc0074f5e8f4ad0ea4ba7f68d90fbdec9d9b |
Stream-disconnection continuation amendments
Post-stop, pre-residual stream-disconnection amendment retains its prior 503 amendment and disjoint accepted 503 and explicit-null-status subsets. Null status is never described as HTTP 503. Original unresolved custody is preserved; accepted technical missingness permits the unchanged numerical engine to use null outcomes. No remote completion, cancellation, provider truncation, retry or replacement is inferred.
Original source accounting and computational missingness are distinct. A source unknown accepted under the amendment remains excluded from all scientific scores and from original grammar-only sensitivity. It is included in native all-unavailable bounds. No session was retried or replaced; the 320 scheduled denominator is unchanged. Amendment seal sha256:6f12e66a2e33f8c143d2ccb9ce80bbff6dfb3a41bd970f776777e8bd2f3f4ceb. Prior 503 amendment sha256:4fd3f510ca94934857aaef25f391ad6d3b146d81120fc4c1c55ae8ae7af389b9. The accepted 503 and accepted null-status subsets are disjoint and retain their different observed HTTP-status evidence.
Lineage and native-route deviations
PRICE-03 uses an explicit native source-registration adapter with original PRICE-01 ancestry and a fixed 320-slot E2 plan. The retained 84 prior pilot slots are excluded from main estimates. Original R2 records, the R4 HTTP 503 continuation and the separate R5 null-status residual amendment remain linked without rewriting provider unknowns. Native final recording and OpenPsy app/Library integration are distinct: no canonical Library import or generic app scientific-workflow completion is claimed.
| Area | Documented status | Evidence seal |
|---|---|---|
| Native model and compute evidence | Requested/configured GPT-6 Sol and GPT-5.6 Terra with low-effort native controls are pinned. Served backend identity and actual compute remain unobserved; no claim of provider-level identity equivalence. | sha256:622001976aad81a710bad3244cc25c3cfd768699bd7ab06be32b85bf41642f55 |
| Output limit and unavailable outcomes | The original 1024 reference is locally recorded but not requested/enforced by native transport. Provider truncation is not-evaluable; six-turn completion and per-outcome grammar define the prospective endpoint. Retain every missing/failure and both registered/native sensitivity scopes without replacement. | sha256:46884e8c0f57b5d8acda96b9eb0b16b054c0bfd02e63df0d06d6fdfe9e21e589 |
| Separate pilot epochs and compatibility policy | Epoch 1 closed no-go after 40 scheduled: 36 eligible and 4 local compatibility failures. Epoch 2 uses the separately reviewed opt-in observed streamed-terminal policy. No prior rows were retried,salvaged,pooled or recoded as E2; scientific prompts,hypotheses,N and strict thresholds remain unchanged. | sha256:11bc0da507ce3be71161731ee183d3d0631139f5c82a33dc8ef603a26cb77041 |
| Single coder and audit-only coverage | One external Claude Sonnet 5 coder used the unchanged frozen codebook and fresh 40-case calibration. Final coding covered all 320 captured rationales, including 3 audit-only captures; 317 complete-session rationales contribute to scientific estimates. Every coder reply was parser-valid, with no invalid or unavailable reply. Audit-only coverage does not make an incomplete session eligible. | sha256:91296e92f09907f7644fa008eaf9b832d13793f24f4dd7b2bde5461041e6785c |
| Fixed sample size and prior exposure | Main 320 was fixed after prior PRICE-02 numerical results were viewed. The historical-slot planning proxy is unvalidated and weak for Terra; no all-hypothesis 80% power claim. Five unlabeled E1 code vectors were viewed after E2 design freeze,without subsequent design/analysis change. Later E2 scientific viewing must be separately retained. | sha256:8f2678e91a1ea67d71edcb0e69e7b0be7957dd829a614888b5a8fdac76348fa2 |
| Exposure timing | Preregistration-era E2 exposure was recorded separately and remains unchanged. After completed collection and coding, the author, root reviewer and independent numerical reviewer viewed actual aggregate results during initial analysis review; their real view times and scopes are retained. No raw participant response text, rationale text or individual E2 code vectors were reported viewed in this scoped record. Later report-viewing provenance must be retained separately; no permanent or global blindness claim is made. | sha256:e35eb3d54080d85b5038f764c90d7b8bb2ded391339616e376db6a3ae0ffc89b |
| Native source and app lineage | The study uses an explicit source-registration adapter retaining original compiler ancestry; it is not a current canonical Library import. A genuine native recorded analysis may be completed only through its signed original reader. App integration remains pending absent separate supported import evidence. | sha256:622001976aad81a710bad3244cc25c3cfd768699bd7ab06be32b85bf41642f55 |
| Pilot versus main gates | The .0999 refusal/completion-failure cap is pilot-only. Main inference retains at least .90 valid observations in each pooled condition for the relevant outcome/code and the original five-consecutive dispatch-failure stop. Do not invent a new .0999 main cap. | sha256:4fd3f510ca94934857aaef25f391ad6d3b146d81120fc4c1c55ae8ae7af389b9 |
| Software and admission chronology | The grant-empty historical software baseline belongs to R2. R4 later completed full browser/build checks with its installed participant-continuation row. The original R5 normal build attempt remains recorded as exit 1: its completed broad test suites passed, but the unchanged stale-browser-evidence gate refused a pre-coder-admission fingerprint and the bundler did not run in that attempt. A separately recorded continuation at the current source fingerprint then passed fresh browser journeys 30/30, the original browser-evidence gate, and the exact application bundler, each with exit 0. The previously passed broad suites were carried from the preserved attempt, not rerun; this is not a claim that the earlier full command returned zero. Nonfatal large-chunk and static unknown-route notices remain disclosed. These bounded software receipts do not certify a generic completed app/Library scientific workflow. | sha256:fd5140dd1e7e625be7f02a6f580e8f097b270ea336a28d4f2d15dcdcec72ea37 |
| Post-stop HTTP 503 technical-missing amendment | Ordinal 63 remains a raw provider-unknown, incomplete six-turn session. The signed D2 amendment accepts its narrowly verified HTTP 503 stream disconnection as technical missingness for continued collection and computational analysis only; no terminal completion, score, retry, replacement or new sample is manufactured. The raw unknown is retained in source accounting. | sha256:4fd3f510ca94934857aaef25f391ad6d3b146d81120fc4c1c55ae8ae7af389b9 |
| Post-stop null-status residual amendment | The signed D3 amendment preserved the prior 277 attempts and admitted only untouched slots 278–320. Ordinal 277 has a literal null HTTP-status stream disconnection, distinct from numeric 503 at 63 and the separate known protocol failure at 217. Final source accounting retains 317 complete, 1 known failure and 2 raw unknowns, with one 503 and one null-status technical-missing acceptance. Both accepted incomplete sessions remain ineligible. They enter native-all-unavailable sensitivity, not grammar-only missingness. No retries, reserves, enlarged N, new seed or generic unknown exemption were introduced. | sha256:6f12e66a2e33f8c143d2ccb9ce80bbff6dfb3a41bd970f776777e8bd2f3f4ceb |
| Final collection and computational accounting | All 320 scheduled main slots were claimed and accounted for. Source dispositions remain 317 complete, 1 known failure and 2 raw unknowns, with no unattempted slots. The separately labeled computational projection maps only the two authenticated technical-missing unknowns to missing known-failure observations, yielding 317 eligible and 3 unavailable sessions. Source history is not relabeled as resolved. | sha256:8fd0a34f292aa488dd4bcb87a96b2112e98a3c2766b1bde33582a4bf88e12f6d |
| Local pre-coding preparation handoff correction | The first cached preparation stopped before any coding model call because its generic metadata traversal misclassified registered relative checklist and preserved root-relative inventory entries, followed by a pinned historical executable path inside a worktree directory. A separately reviewed additive local preparer handled only those exact metadata contexts and the empty pre-custody pack. The frozen runtime, scientific instrument, coding rules and original records were unchanged; actual coding then used the reviewed successor once. | sha256:523d944c100e40751fd6161e97ed6084a74157c0d893374c6586163dde08ea8c |
| Input | Seal |
|---|---|
| Analysed native target | PRICE03-SOL-TERRA-20261007-E2 |
| Public label | PRICE-03 |
| analysisSha | sha256:a8bb0432c101ec03b5453c29ff40bc0074f5e8f4ad0ea4ba7f68d90fbdec9d9b |
| collectionSha | sha256:7cb1c2d50725b3dbe4e5b4feee4c596b5ede638742d5941388f4030bbc84bbf2 |
| planSha | sha256:b92d77b84ce933657d8fc5f5ce6cbbaaa6400a063c78cda69b66cb97e4e4b2e4 |
| sourceRegistrationSha | sha256:aebe13dacaa6a318667ebb25e917f67b4daa3ed2fb2dde56eebfee746efb3790 |
| specificationSha | sha256:ab81ec56cfb716fb5d496e2484ee42a8feeda1a0d8ab1de4dcb1f148c9911258 |
Completion and review status
| Area | Status |
|---|---|
| analysis | all-outcome-inference |
| appIntegration | pending |
| coding | complete |
| finalRecord | complete |
Software qualification, native scientific recording and standard Library/app integration are separate evidence-backed statuses. This presentation does not itself change any of them. The published presentation and its independent review do not change the recorded scientific or app-integration statuses.
Tables and downloads
Prospective coefficient interval methods (E2) · Other interval methods · E2 method applicability
Download all figures and tables · Reviewed aggregate data (JSON)
The bundle holds the figures and tables in the form in which they were reviewed and first published on 2026-10-08. They state the same values as this page, but their layout and labels differ from the figures shown here.
- Native model coefficient coding; separate intercepts for the two samples (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): complete four-comparison Holm family (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): source-supported model quantities (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only) (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only): all-minimum full Holm family (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only): all-minimum price model terms (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only): all-maximum full Holm family (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only): all-maximum price model terms (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only): least-favourable full Holm family (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only): least-favourable price model terms (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable) (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable): all-minimum full Holm family (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable): all-minimum price model terms (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable): all-maximum full Holm family (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable): all-maximum price model terms (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable): least-favourable full Holm family (CSV)
- Maximum price for one course (US dollars): All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable): least-favourable price model terms (CSV)
- Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: complete four-comparison Holm family (CSV)
- Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: source-supported model quantities (CSV)
- Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only) (CSV)
- Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only): all-minimum full Holm family (CSV)
- Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only): all-maximum full Holm family (CSV)
- Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: Registered grammar-only endpoint sensitivity (registered-grammar-only): least-favourable full Holm family (CSV)
- Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable) (CSV)
- Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable): all-minimum full Holm family (CSV)
- Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable): all-maximum full Holm family (CSV)
- Likelihood of buying at 25 US dollars: All unavailable scheduled outcomes: native endpoint sensitivity (native-all-unavailable): least-favourable full Holm family (CSV)
- Unprotected share lowers the price: complete four-comparison Holm family (effects are differences in proportions from 0 to 1) (CSV)
- Unprotected share lowers the price: source-supported model quantities (CSV)
- Unprotected share lowers the price: registered-captured-coder-grammar (registered-captured-coder-grammar), as proportions from 0 to 1 (CSV)
- Unprotected share lowers the price: native-all-unavailable (native-all-unavailable), as proportions from 0 to 1 (CSV)
- Some protection is worth paying for: complete four-comparison Holm family (effects are differences in proportions from 0 to 1) (CSV)
- Some protection is worth paying for: source-supported model quantities (CSV)
- Some protection is worth paying for: registered-captured-coder-grammar (registered-captured-coder-grammar), as proportions from 0 to 1 (CSV)
- Some protection is worth paying for: native-all-unavailable (native-all-unavailable), as proportions from 0 to 1 (CSV)
- Framing recognised: complete four-comparison Holm family (effects are differences in proportions from 0 to 1) (CSV)
- Framing recognised: source-supported model quantities (CSV)
- Framing recognised: registered-captured-coder-grammar (registered-captured-coder-grammar), as proportions from 0 to 1 (CSV)
- Framing recognised: native-all-unavailable (native-all-unavailable), as proportions from 0 to 1 (CSV)
- Price set by the 25 dollar reference: complete four-comparison Holm family (effects are differences in proportions from 0 to 1) (CSV)
- Price set by the 25 dollar reference: source-supported model quantities (CSV)
- Price set by the 25 dollar reference: registered-captured-coder-grammar (registered-captured-coder-grammar), as proportions from 0 to 1 (CSV)
- Price set by the 25 dollar reference: native-all-unavailable (native-all-unavailable), as proportions from 0 to 1 (CSV)
- Price derived by arithmetic: complete four-comparison Holm family (effects are differences in proportions from 0 to 1) (CSV)
- Price derived by arithmetic: source-supported model quantities (CSV)
- Price derived by arithmetic: registered-captured-coder-grammar (registered-captured-coder-grammar), as proportions from 0 to 1 (CSV)
- Price derived by arithmetic: native-all-unavailable (native-all-unavailable), as proportions from 0 to 1 (CSV)
- The four frozen directional rules; recording state remains separate (CSV)
- All scalar means and code proportions, by sample and pooled (CSV)
- Pooled gain-minus-loss effects and reporting-only 95% intervals (CSV)
- Every nonzero missingness classification (CSV)
- All pilot attempts remain separate from main results (CSV)
- Source unknowns remain visible; accepted technical missingness is a subset, not an additional session (CSV)
- Both count checks (CSV)
- Aligned descriptive comparison for all four retained hypotheses (CSV)
- Native replication differences and retained limitations (CSV)
- Independent source identities (CSV)
- Independent status fields (CSV)